Investments

Do You Know the Game You’re Playing?

Do You Know the Game You’re Playing?

During my sabbatical, I read a book by Simon Sinek, “The Infinite Game,” which was published in 2019 and inspired by James Carse’s 1986 book on game theory titled “Finite and Infinite Games.”

In the books, finite and infinite games are described in this way:

A finite game is played to win, like baseball or golf. The players are known, the rules are set, and the endpoint is defined.

What Caused the Inflation We've Been Experiencing?

What Caused the Inflation We've Been Experiencing?

Inflation is all everyone has been talking about for two years. Inflation reaching 40-year highs has wreaked havoc on consumers' wallets and caused market uncertainty.

The inflation story in 2021 was propelled forward by supply chain disruptions following the shutdown of the economy due to the COVID stay-at-home orders. This broad statement of supply chain disruptions expands to the physical transportation of products and a shortage of workers and materials

Don't Let Sequence Risk Derail Your Retirement

Don't Let Sequence Risk Derail Your Retirement

Investors face many risks. Sequence-of-returns risk has not been discussed much over the last decade. Sequence risk is the risk of an investor experiencing a down market while simultaneously needing to begin withdrawals from your portfolio.

Understandably, sequence risk has not been top-of-mind for many retirees due to the 12-year bull market that began in 2009 and just recently ended. However, the current bear market and high inflation have underscored the importance of understanding sequence risk and finding ways to help mitigate it.

Economic Cycles as a Shakespearean Tragedy

Economic Cycles as a Shakespearean Tragedy

Shakespeare wrote ten dramas, each with a different story and cast of characters. However, his tragedies follow the same five-act formula: Exposition, Rising Action, Climax, Falling Action, and Resolution. Every play, movie, and television shows from Shakespeare's time to today follows the same five-act sequence. Our culture's art and entertainment reflect our innate expectations of the hero's rise, fall, and resolution. Likewise, our expectations for the economy and financial markets are no different.

The Investment Story of 2022

The Investment Story of 2022

The first half of 2022 has been a disappointing year for every investor. At the close of Q2 2022, a 60/40 hypothetical portfolio comprised of the S&P 500 Index and Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index was down over 12%. What's been the driving force behind these investment returns, and what can we expect moving forward?

True Confessions of a Financial Advisor

True Confessions of a Financial Advisor

As of Friday, the 29th of July, except for the NASDAQ market, the US equity markets recovered somewhat from the bear market correction. A bear market is a loss of 20% from the previous high. In the first six months of 2022, the equity market had lost over 80% of what it gained in 2021 and entered a bear market correction.

What is a Recession?

What is a Recession?

Two weeks ago, the latest Consumer Price Index data (the index that measures inflation) had risen 1.3% in June, bringing headline inflation up to 9.1% and core inflation (excludes energy and food) up to 5.9% over the last 12 months. With increases this large, it’s not surprising to know this has been the most significant 12-month increase since November of 1981. With inflation on the rise, the war in Ukraine, and the stock market in bear territory (when stocks fall at least 20% off their highs), are we doomed for a recession?

Equity Compensation Concentration: When is enough, enough?

Equity Compensation Concentration: When is enough, enough?

I'm new to gardening as my interest in this hobby blossomed (pun intended) over the Covid lockdown. This spring, I was clearing out my garden in preparation for my new plants, and I spotted a patch of weeds that overtook about a quarter of usable soil within the garden confines.

Tax Loss Harvesting: The Silver Lining of Market Downturns

Tax Loss Harvesting: The Silver Lining of Market Downturns

With the first half of 2022 closing just a few days ago, the S&P 500 is down almost 20% year-to-date. That would rank as the worst first half of the year in over 50 years! While many tend to avoid looking at their investment account statements during times like this, market downturns present unique opportunities for investors

Market Volatility: It’s Different This Time

Market Volatility: It’s Different This Time

Every time the stock market experiences a correction (down >10%), we hear that familiar phrase, “It’s different this time.” Since 1950, there have been 39 corrections for the S&P 500, and they have all been the result of a different set of circumstances. There have been six years when long-term government bonds lost 5% or more during the same period, all with varying circumstances. Being different doesn’t mean that the market will not recover from a correction.

Rising Interest Rates, The Economy, and Your Portfolio

Rising Interest Rates, The Economy, and Your Portfolio

For the first time since December 2018, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted at its March meeting to raise the federal funds target rate range by ¼ percent to 0.25% - 0.50%. Following this initial increase, the median voting member expects seven more rate hikes in 2022 and an additional four hikes in 2023.

Should You Sell Your Stock Compensation When It Vests Below the Grant Price?

Should You Sell Your Stock Compensation When It Vests Below the Grant Price?

There has been no shortage of volatility with global equity markets on a rollercoaster ride this year. A steep drop in prices scares investors and heightens our senses to pay attention to avoid making mistakes. However, this fear can lead to indecision or taking no action.

War in Ukraine

   War in Ukraine

Our prayers and thoughts are with the Ukrainian people who are suffering immeasurably at the hands of the Russian military today. To characterize this as "geopolitical risk" that will impact our portfolios seems insensitive. Millions of Ukrainian people woke up today with plans to go to school and work, meet up with friends, or start vacations, and instead have bombs falling on their cities as Russia commits to war on their land.

Crash Course on NQSOs and Taxes

Crash Course on NQSOs and Taxes

As we head into the throes of tax season, investors will be getting a slew of tax documents to report on their tax returns. Tax filing can be complicated even further by adding equity compensation into the equation because there can be (1) multiple tax reporting forms for one transaction, (2) different tax treatments based on the type of compensation (3) specific rules for varying strategies.

Any equity in Incentive Stock Options (ISOS)?

Any equity in Incentive Stock Options (ISOS)?

An incentive stock option (ISO) is a form of equity compensation where the employee has the right to buy shares of the company at a discounted price with special tax treatment. An ISO is a long-term incentive that replaces cash compensation and encourages employees to contribute to the company’s growth and development, hoping the options grow in value over time.

My Mutual Fund Value Dropped in December?: Mutual Fund Capital Gains Distributions

My Mutual Fund Value Dropped in December?: Mutual Fund Capital Gains Distributions

Around this time of year, investors may notice a drop in value in their mutual fund positions due to the funds paying out their annual capital gains distributions. It is important to realize that when this payout occurs, it will cause a drop in the fund's value since the fund's share price is reduced by the capital gains distribution, making it appear that the fund lost value.

Portfolios of the Ultra-Wealthy and Access to Private Equity

Portfolios of the Ultra-Wealthy and Access to Private Equity

Recently there has been considerable debate about providing investors with less than $5 million opportunities to invest in private equity (PE). A prior SEC chairman said, “the requirement that allows only wealthy investors access to PE does not provide the same investment opportunities to smaller investors.”